Accrington (@3.5) vs Sunderland (@2.0)

Our Prediction:

Sunderland will win

Accrington – Sunderland Match Prediction | 14-09-2019 10:00

We like under 2.5 goals here, which is available at 17/20 withBet365. On top of that, with points at a premium for Accrington, we can also see them being cautious, especially in the first half. We think that with Sunderland either fielding a team with a couple of squad players in, or being a little tired from Sunday, there wont be many goals here.

Quite frankly, if they can go away and shut Barnsley out, then Sunderland ought to be capable of making life very tough for Accrington on Wednesday, though we shouldnt expect the visitors to be overly flamboyant going forward. Sunderland have scored more than once in just three of their last ten on the road, while theyve averaged just 1.09 expected goals for during that time.

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Quite simply, even if they dont look like battering teams, the figures posted by Sunderland at home are more impressive than Accringtons efforts away. Moreover, theyre shipping an average of 1.07 at Stadium of Light, while Accrington are conceding an average of 1.57 on the road. The Black Cats have generally given little away at home, while they currently boast an average expected goal difference of +0.47, which is better than Accringtons of -0.27 on the road. Backing Jack Ross men to regain the winning thread by edging out a visiting side that hasnt enjoyed life away from home of late is the way to go ahead of Fridays televised encounter.

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Defensively, they did show up a lot better than they did at Pirelli Stadium the previous week, but they offered a limited amount going forward. More will be needed if theyre to topple a Sunderland side that will be itching to resume winning ways after an agonising defeat (on penalties) at Wembley in the EFL Trophy on Sunday. After they were battered by Burton a fortnight ago, Accrington wouldve gone into last weekends home game against Fleetwood hoping to bounce back, though John Colemans men were unable to make amends, as they slumped to a fourth defeat in five matches.

Accrington vs Sunderland Betting Tip

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Sunderland are in contention for an automatic promotion spot, but they have to catch up their games in hand on their opponents. They have nine games to play in just over a month, this is going to be a busy period and they start on the back of a long game on Sunday including extra time. Sunderland have the quality to get promoted, but do they have the legs within their squad?

Moreover, Stanley have a poor record away against the big teams, as theyre currently without a point on the road against teams currently residing in the top six. Accrington have been bettered in terms of expected goals in four of their last five away matches and have surrendered expected-goals against numbers such as 1.97, 1.43 and 2.85 during that time. Fridays visitors come into this fixture having won none of their last five on the road, four of which theyve lost, while their overall efforts during that time havent been too pleasing.

Accrington vs Sunderland Match Info

They are just two points ahead of the bottom four, and there are three of those places still up for grabs. Accrington have recently shot down the table, and they are not safe from relegation as things stand right now. With just one win from their last six, they would love something from this game, and they will have a chance, as Sunderland will arrive here a tired team after a big game on Sunday in the EFL Trophy, a game which they lost on penalties.