Air Force (@2.47) vs Colorado (@1.57)

Our Prediction:

Colorado will win

Air Force – Colorado Match Prediction | 14-09-2019 13:00

Colorado State is currently 54th overall in rushing defense, which is slightly above average. In my opinion, it is fairly clear that the Rams are the superior team on both sides of the ball. They should have no problem covering the spread in this one while also remaining undefeated against the Mountain West Conference. The Rams will certainly allow Air Force to find some measure of success on the ground, but I dont think it will be enough to keep this game close for four quarters. I think Colorado State finds a way to win this game by at least two touchdowns at home.

Leading the way for the Falcons rushing attack has been RB Jacobi Owens (10.4 att/g, 67.9 yds/g, 3 TD), RB D.J. Leading the way for Air Force was QB Arion Worthman who completed 6 of 9 passes for 195 yards and a TD while also adding a TD and 63 yards on the ground. Defensively, Air Force is holding their opponents to an average of 24.0 ppg on 336.6 total yards per game (222.1 passing, 114.4 rushing). Offensviely, Air Force is led by their rushing attack that ranks 5th in the country in rushing yds/game. The Air Force Falcons improved to 6-3 (2-3 MW) on the season after defeating the Army Black Knights, 31-12, this past Saturday. On the season, Air Force is averaging 32.8 ppg on 448.2 total yards per game (157.6 passing, 290.7 rushing). QB Arion Worthman, who just recently replaced QB Nate Romine, has completed just 7 of 10 passes on the season for 212 passing yards and 2 TD. Air Force has forced 14 turnovers on the season and has an overall turnover margin of +2. Johnson (13.3 att/g, 58.6 yds/g), RB Shayne Davern (10.9 att/g, 43.6 yds/g, 3 TD), RB Timothy McVey (5.3 att/g, 37.0 yds/g, 6 TD), and QB Arion Worthman (9.75 att/g, 41.3 yds/g, 3 TD). Jalen Robinette (3.0 rec/g, 80.7 yds/g, 4 TD), Timothy McVey (0.7 rec/g, 19.6 yds/g, 2 TD), and Ryan Reffitt (0.8 rec/g, 18.4 yds/g, 2 TD) are the main targets at the receiver position for the Falcons. Air Force did a nice job slowing down the Armys rushing attack and was able to pull away in the 2nd half after a late 3rd quarter TD put the Falcons up 24-12. Air Force outgained Army by a 444-228 margin and won the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin.

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Air Force had some quality wins this season (Navy, Army), however, the Falcons have struggled against Mountain West this season which includes a home loss to Hawai'i. Colorado State has been playing their best football of the season as of late and as long as QB Nick Stevens can do some damage through the air, I think the Rams will keep this one close enough to cover with the points. Air Force is known for their solid rushing attack however, the Falcons are also one of the best at the stopping the run as their rushing defense currently ranks 14th in the country. Colorado State has really turned a corner over the last month as since their loss at home against Wyoming, the Rams are 3-1 and are averaging 33.3 ppg.

I think the clear value in this spot is on the Colorado State side of things. The problem for Air Force in this particular match-up is their mediocre defense. The Falcons cant seem to really stop anybody, ranking outside of the top 100 nationwide in scoring defense. They are now tasked with facing a top 40 offense that is playing at home. There is no question that the Falcons have a very impressive rushing attack. They are undoubtedly one of the top few teams in the entire country on the ground.

Stevens will be great from the pocket, but hell get picked off once, and that will end up being the deciding factor in a win for Air Force. Romines return will have a huge impact on this game. Owens will find running room and carve a path to the end zone to help out. Hes going to run for about 75 yards on double-digit carries, but hes also going to make the throws he needs to make to keep the Falcons ahead.

Colorado State vs. Air Force odds, line, start time: Picks, predictions from advanced computer model on 30-12 roll

was given 10 carries, and he rushed for 83 yards and a touchdown. Izzy Matthews toted the rock over the goal line twice en route to 55 yards on 10 attempts. Dalyn Dawkins didnt find his way into the end zone, but he did take his 10 carries for 35 rushing yards. Colorado State did distribute carries in the running game fairly evenly, and it worked out. Marvin Kinsey Jr.

They rushed for an incredible 550 yards, which accounted for all but 41 of their 591 total yards gained. Defensively, Air Force has looked overwhelmingly average. He has also found the end zone twelve times on the ground and eight times through the air. Worthman averages almost as many rushing yards per game as passing yards. Air Force ranks 5th overall nationwide with a rushing offense that features the triple-threat of Tim McVey, Arion Worthman, and Parker Wilson. The Falcons snuck past the Nevada Wolf Pack last weekend, winning 45-42 on a last second field goal. The victory moved Air Force to 3-4 overall on the season. The Falcons are allowing opponents an average of 33.8 points per game on 388.9 total yards per game. As usual, the Falcons key to success against Nevada was a stellar performance on the ground.

Colorado State odds, the same as where the line opened, while the over-under for total points Vegas expects to be scored is 62. ET when the Colorado State Rams visit the Air Force Falcons on CBS Sports Network. Both teams are looking to finish disappointing seasons on a high note, so be sure to check out the Air Force vs. Colorado State picks and predictions from SportsLine's proven computer model before locking in any of your own. The Mountain West will be in the college football spotlight on Thanksgiving at 3:30 p.m. The Falcons are 14.5-point favorites in the latest Air Force vs.

Colorado State vs. Air Force Fearless Prediction, Game Preview

(7.2 att/g, 38.7 yds/g, 5 TD). Leading the way for the Rams was WR Michael Gallup who had a TD and 126 receiving yards on 9 receptions. Colorado State outgained Fresno State by a 494-232 margin and won the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin. On the season, Colorado State is averaging 27.9 ppg on 418.9 total yards per game (219.9 passing, 199.0 rushing). Colorado State has only forced their opponents to commit 10 turnovers on the season however, the Rams do have an overall turnover margin of 0. QB Nick Stevens, who regained his starting QB job after Collin Hill was lost for the season due to injury, has completed 60.0% of his passes for 6 TD and 2 INT while averaging 123.3 passing yds/game. Offensively, the Rams have been led by their solid rushing attack that consists of Dalyn Dawkins (13.3 att/g, 61.8 yds/g, TD), Izzy Matthews (11.2 att/g, 49.0 yds/g, 8 TD), and Marvin Kinsey, Jr. Defensively, Colorado State is holding their opponents to an average of 24.8 ppg on 396.9 total yards per game (219.9 passing, 177.0 rushing). Michael Gallup (5.0 rec/g, 77.3 yds/g, 6 TD) and Olabisi Johnson (1.9 rec/g, 28.0 yds/g, 2 TD) have been the biggest WR threats for the Rams. The Colorado State Rams won their 2nd straight game and improved to 5-4 (3-2 MW) on the season after defeating the Fresno State Bulldogs, 37-0, this past Saturday. Colorado State had their best defensive game of the season and had no problems putting away the Bulldogs after taking a 23-0 lead at halftime.

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The wheels fell off after that point, beginning with a 56-28 loss at the hands of Boise State. Both sides of the ball have struggled recently, but the defense has been particularly poor, allowing an average of 42 points during the losing streak.

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Air Force hasnt been winning by wide margins when it has won and I think its a lot to ask of the Falcons to beat the Rams by 14 points. The Rams are obviously pretty poor on both sides of the ball, but I think they can handle themselves a little better against a straight-forward Air Force offense. Air Force doesnt have enough consistency on either side of the ball to trust that much.

Stevens has to continue to protect the football, take what the defense gives him and lead the Rams down the field. But he has to make Colorado State pay if it tries to cheat the run. If he can air it out and prevent Air Force from stacking the box, the Rams will be in good shape. If Romine can be accurate with the football through the air, this will be interesting. Their games are very different, but both play huge roles for their respective teams as every quarterback does. As for Romine, he needs to get back to moving the sticks with his running ability.

Stevens is the main catalyst for a Colorado State offense that is currently averaging 33.9 points on 507.0 total yards per game. The Rams jumped out to an early 21-10 lead but sputtered offensively in the second half. QB Nick Stevens threw his 19th and 20th touchdown pass of the season as he passed for just under his season average of 310.8 yards per game. On the other side of the ball, the Rams are limiting their opponents to an average of just 24.5 points per game. Colorado State is looking to win their fifth game in a row after beating the New Mexico Lobos 27-24 last weekend. Colorado State has also managed to force 11 turnovers so far this season, which gives them a positive turnover margin (+1).