Atlanta Hawks (@2.25) vs Detroit Pistons (@1.7)

Our Prediction:

Detroit Pistons will win

Atlanta Hawks – Detroit Pistons Match Prediction | 19-08-2019

They are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games following a loss of more than ten points, but they have failed to cover in their last six games against Southeast Division teams and in their last six versus opponents with a losing record. Detroit are also2-9 against the number in their last 11 games and 1-5 in the last six versus conference rivals. The Pistons have been installed as 3.5-point favorites for this game but have few trends in their favor.

Looking at the betting trends, the Pistons are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games against a team with a losing record, 1-5 ATS in their last six games playing on three or more days rest and 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. The Hawks are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a losing record and 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.

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When star-gazing goes wrong -A key reason the Pistons scored only 15 points in the final quarter was because they were standing around and waiting for Griffin to bail them out. Some of that can be chalked up to a lack of practice time since he was acquired, but it showed in the second half when Detroit missed 13 of 17 3-pointers and shot just 32.5 percent in the final two quarters.

Detroits offence had a shocker when coming up against one of the best defensive sides in the league last time out. Blake Griffin hit a couple below his season average with 23 points and 5 assists while Andre Drummond hit 17 points and 16 rebounds against a solid Hornets side. They only managed 4o first half points and ended the game with just 86 in a 12 point loss on the road to Charlotte. Detroits bench had a shocker averaging 23 points which is certainly not good enough for any team wishing to progress in the playoffs.

The starters played very well for Hawks with Kent Bazemore hitting 22 points and rookie Trae Young grabbing a double double with 15 points and 10 assists. While it wasnt the best overall performance, 7 players hit double figures and the second half is definitely something this Hawks team want to emulate in the coming games. They somehow limited Knicks to just 38 second half points to pick a great 7 point victory. Atlanta were heading for another loss after seeing themselves 9 points behind New York Knicks in their last game.

Betting tip

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The Pistons themselves have been struggling all season but are still in the mix for the playoffs, sitting in the 8th spot with a 26-30 record. They have a positive record in their last 10 games though, having won 6 of them. The Detroit Pistons travel to the Phillips Arena in Atlanta to take on the lowly Hawks in a game that the Pistons should be looking to win emphatically.

As a unit they are 28th in the league in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shot attempts, ranking 10th in the NBA. They are 15th in the NBA in pace with 99.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 50% is 28th. The Pistons are 23rd in the league in defensive rating with 108.6, and their offensive rating of 107.5 is ranked 11th. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 18th in the NBA. Detroit is 19th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.6 on defense.

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The Pistons have an overall mark of 15-15. They total 108.9 points per contest and give up 109.9, which is a point differential of -1.0. The Hawks have a record of 8-23. They are 5th in the Southeast Division. They currently are 3rd in the Central Division. They have a point differential of -9.6 as they average 109.0 points per game while giving up 118.6 per contest.

Pistons are still in a great position to reach the playoffs for the first time in 3 seasons, they just need to get past this hangover and return to winning ways. Before that run they were 13-7 on the season and dominated the month of November with wins over Toronto, Houston and Golden State. Detroit have had a tough few weeks winning just 2 of their last 10 games in the run up to Christmas. Not much has changed with Detroits style of play as they are still averaging a similar amount of points per game as well as points given up.