Milwaukee Bucks (@2.25) vs Philadelphia 76ers (@1.7)

Our Prediction:

Philadelphia 76ers will win

Milwaukee Bucks – Philadelphia 76ers Match Prediction | 27-08-2019 14:40

Milwaukee allows the opposition to hit just 43.2% of their field goal attempts. After all, they are the best team in the NBA in terms of scoring (117.9 points per game), and they are also the best in undermining the shooting operations of those they come across. Milwaukee has all the ingredients to dominate this contest. When you factor in that Milwaukee has also had two extra days to prepare for this contest, they have the advantage of extra time to hone this strategy and be the fresher team to boot.

He has spearheaded the Sixers' 15-game winning streak and is the clear favorite ahead of Utah's Donovan Mitchell and LA's Kyle Kuzma for Rookie of the Year honors. It is going to be very entertaining watching Simmons and (fingers crossed) Embiid debut in the playoffs very soon. He is averaging 15.9 points, 8.2 assists and 8.2 rebounds per game. With center Joel Embiid out of the lineup, he has really taken his game up a notch to ensure Philadelphia continued rolling. Aside from hitting a 3-pointer, there isn't much Philadelphia point guard Ben Simmons can't do on the basketball court. Simmons had an average game last time out in a 121-113 win at the Hawks but still managed 14 points, 10 rebounds, six assists, two steals and a block over 29 minutes.

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However, a lot of things went right for Philly to get the upset including a prolific performance that saw the Sixers hit over 46% of their three-point attempts. It is indeed not a good scenario to find oneself taking back fewer points due to a recency bias with the previous narrative taken into consideration. This is a feat that is rarely duplicated and makes Philly a very dicey roll. Given Philly's relatively poor form as of late, the only justifiable reason is an overreaction to what occurred in the last episode between these two clubs. Some other books would suggest that the Sixers are overvalued here as they could be justified as being offered as a five-point underdog here.

Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 19th in the NBA. As a unit they are 19th in the league in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shot attempts, ranking 15th in the NBA. They are 11th in the NBA in pace with 102.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 51% is 19th. The 76ers are 24th in the league in defensive rating with 106.5, and their offensive rating of 107.2 is ranked 9th. Philadelphia is 17th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.5 on defense.

There is no doubt that Embiid is one of the most valuable players on the Sixers, if not in the entirety of the NBA in this season. In terms of usage, he is second to only James Harden. With all of those responsibilities, the Sixers are assessing their options going into the playoffs, without him on the court. He also has the duty of patrolling the paint and stifling guards off of screens.

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Milwaukee Bucks ATS Odds

The Bucks were not happy about the result of the last two teams meeting on March 17th because it was only their sixth loss in Milwaukee this season. Given the fact that a win also gives the Bucks home court throughout the playoffs, the stakes are high for the Deer, and I expect them to cash in. Milwaukee will have revenge on their mind here and will be chomping at the bit to hand Philly their tenth loss at home this season. Before a nationally televised audience, Philly seemingly beat the Bucks at their own game and outscored them on their own floor.

In the 76ers last game, they were beaten by the Detroit Pistons, 133-132, but they did cover as 12.5-point underdogs. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The 76ers, meanwhile, topped the New York Knicks,124-113, but were unable to cover as 11.5-point favorites. The Philadelphia game went 47.5 points over the projected point total of 217.5, while the Milwaukee game went 10 points over the projected point total of 227.

Opponents average 47.7 rebounds a game which ranks 17th and they give up 26.7 assists per contest, which puts them in 26th place in the league. They force 13.3 turnovers per game which ranks them 15th in the league. Philadelphia averages 110 points per contest this season, which ranks them 19th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 0.7 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a team, which has them ranked 18th. Behind the arc they shoot 35% which is good for 18th in the league. In the turnover department they rank 19th with 13 per game. They also allow a 44% shooting percentage and a 38% average from behind the arc, ranking them 12th and 22nd in those defensive categories. They average 49.3 rebounds per game and 27 assists per game, which ranks them 8th and 6th in those offensive categories. The 76ers allow 109.3 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 11th in the league.

Milwaukee Bucks at Philadelphia 76ers Overview

The Sixers own a 49-28 record so far this season but are being very cautious about their roster going into this late period in the season. It looks as if the Philadelphia 76ers will enter the NBA Playoffs with the third seed of the Eastern Conference. They are looking forward to a deep playoff run but will need all hands on deck to make it happen.

Milwaukee is 8th in the league with 118.3 points per game this year. They are 2nd in the league in rebounding with 54 boards per game, and 7th in assists per contest with 26.7. The Bucks surrender 108.7 points per contest, which ranks them 10th in the NBA. The Bucks were 11th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 13 per game last season. The Bucks are 3rd in turnovers per game with 17.3. They rank 2nd with 19.0 assists allowed per contest and 7th with 41.7 rebounds surrendered per game. They are 10th in the league in shooting at 48%, while their average scoring margin is 9.7. They shoot 40% from 3-point range, which is good for 7th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 45% shooting percentage and a 38% average from 3-point range, ranking them 13th and 20th in those defensive statistics.