Pittsburgh Steelers (@3.1) vs New England Patriots (@1.4)
21-08-2019

Our Prediction:

New England Patriots will win

Pittsburgh Steelers – New England Patriots Match Prediction | 21-08-2019

Well, he did at the beginning of the season. For the Steelers, their struggles could be attributed to the big shock the team experienced at the beginning of the season when LeVeon Bell held out until it was clear he would not be taking the field for Pittsburgh in 2018. He didnt even play in the Oakland game and his status is still up in the air for this week as well. That certainly had its impact but in his absence, rookie James Conner really did step in and step up. Theres no coincidence in the last three games Pittsburgh has lost, Conner has been held to under 60 yards.

They appeared to do just fine without Bell last season, but the running game wasnt always consistent with James Conner in the backfield. The story surrounding the Steelers for the 2019 season is going to be all about life after LeVeon Bell and Antonio Brown. JuJu Smith-Schuster led the team in receiving yards last season, but he had the benefit of defences focusing on Brown.

The biggest key for the Steelers will be the pass rush. The Steelers might not have cornerback Joe Haden to play as much man coverage as they would like, but they will try it because playing zone against Brady has proved disastrous in the past. They're second in the NFL in sacks and need a strong rush to get Brady out of his rhythm.

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The under is 6-1 in the Steelers last seven games against an AFC conference opponent and 5-1 in their last six games on the road. These teams combined for 50.6 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 43.66 points per game in their last three meetings. The total has gone under in six out of the last nine games of New England against an opponent from the AFC North Division. The under is also 8-3 in the Patriots last 11 games played on a Sunday.

What this game will come down to is which team executes better in winning time. There will be a play late in the fourth quarter where a player on the Steelers will lose grip of his emotions. While both organizational cultures are strong, the Patriots is based on precision while the Steelers is based on emotion. New England will capitalize and never look back.

That game didnt start out as a recipe for disaster much the way the Tennessee one. For New England, that includes one of the worst losses (34-10) in the Bill Belichick era to the Tennessee Titans and last weeks shocking debacle against the Miami Dolphins. In that one, New England never led and never really looked like they wanted to lead either.

Well, at least two of them are. The Steelers are on a three-game losing streak which, much like the Patriots struggles this year, are games they really should be winning. The Raiders game especially was a dagger given that Pittsburgh had a chance to tie that matchup with a field goal that would have forced overtime. With the exception of a close loss against the Los Angeles Chargers, Pittsburghs most two recent defeats came against the (6-8) Denver Broncos and (3-10) Oakland Raiders. To get in that position, after Oakland scored a go-ahead touchdown with 21 seconds left on the clock, certainly made the loss sting that much deeper.

Game Predictions: Expert picks for Patriots at Steelers

Both the Patriots and the Steelers have benefited from continued success on offense, something that has been the story for several years during this rivalry. Pittsburgh ranks fifth in total yards, with New England right behind them in sixth. In points per game, the Steelers rank fourth compared to sixth for the Patriots. In passing yards, the Steelers rank third with the Patriots in eighth. When things have been good, theyve been good.

They just haven't been able to execute that game plan in the past because they didn't have the personnel to do it. The blueprint to beating the Patriots is not a secret. The Steelers know this as well as anyone. It is well known the best way to do it is by pressuring Tom Brady and disrupting his receivers at the line of scrimmage.

The Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games played in September. Pittsburgh is 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games played in week 1. The Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games played against opponents from the AFC North Division and 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games played in the month of September. New England has outscored Pittsburgh by an average of 6.0 points per game in their last 10 meetings.

He'll throw for big yardage in a game the Steelers must have. But the defense is struggling to close games, the kicking situation is a mess and James Conner could miss another week, placing a spotlight on a running game that averaged 2.1 yards per carry in Oakland. This might be the last time Ben Roethlisberger gets the Patriots at home. The edge belongs to the defending AFC champs. Tom Brady has seven wins, 23 touchdowns and one interception against Pittsburgh since 2006.

New England Patriots vs. Pittsburgh Steelers odds: Picks from expert who's 10-4 on Pats' games

Heyward leads the Steelers in sacks and has been dominant at times. Tuitt has struggled through injuries, but they are paying him big money to perform in games such as this one. Steelers DEs Cameron Heyward and Stephon Tuitt. --Patriots offensive line vs. If Heyward and Tuitt don't come up big for the Steelers, it's going to be a long day for the defense because the defensive backfield does not match up well with the Patriots' skill players. Pressure up the middle is the key to beating the Patriots.

New Orleans pops up next on the Steelers' schedule, with it quite possible that the Colts and Dolphins pass them in that maelstrom for the AFC's sixth seed. New England late in the fourth quarter, initially ruled a touchdown, was overturned after review in the did-he-secure-the-catch-nebula. They can't fall behind early, though, because after last week, Brady and the Pats' defense won't be in any mood for blowing leads. The Jesse James revenge game. Now Pittsburgh is merely trying to hold on to its postseason reservation. After dropping three straight games, including two on the road to lesser opponents, they're clinging to a half-game lead in the AFC North. The Steelers were thought to be a sure thing a month ago. Taking Pittsburgh over New England, solely because the Steelers are at home and in desperation mode. You remember last year, when James' catch vs. If they lose this home match versus Bill Belichick and Tom Brady, they could be done. The controversy marred what was a Patriots-Steelers contest for the ages, or at least since Y2K -- and a game that helped New England secure home-field advantage throughout the playoffs.

Like the Steelers, the Patriots will be figuring out how to get by without one of their superstars, the now-retired Rob Gronkowski. While the passing game has been vital to the teams success during the Brady/Belichick Era, in recent years, the team has begun to rely on the run more. But his absence may not be too hard to deal with.